Who's more valuable, rest of season
Josh Naylor.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, steals, and average. Ildemaro Vargas’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
HR
▶
◀
R
◀
RBI
SB
▶
AVG
▶
Josh Naylor wins 3 categories (HR, SB, AVG); Ildemaro Vargas wins 2 (R, RBI).
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgAvg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Ildemaro Vargas
87.3
Josh Naylor
87.5
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Ildemaro Vargas
33.7%
Josh Naylor
37.3%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Ildemaro Vargas
3.5%
Josh Naylor
4.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Ildemaro Vargas
39.3%
Josh Naylor
37.1%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Ildemaro Vargas
7.1%
Josh Naylor
9.8%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Ildemaro Vargas
.307
Josh Naylor
.320
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Ildemaro Vargas
.240.310
lg AVG .295
now .291
.253
Josh Naylor
.240.310
lg AVG .295
now .254
.255
Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Ildemaro Vargas
59.40
now 7
1
Josh Naylor
59.40
now 6
3
Runshigher is better
Ildemaro Vargas
2035.60
now 30
26
Josh Naylor
2035.60
now 21
16
RBIhigher is better
Ildemaro Vargas
2043.80
now 37
32
Josh Naylor
2043.80
now 25
20
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Ildemaro Vargas
.00016.40
now 1
1
Josh Naylor
.00016.40
now 12
9
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellIldemaro Vargas — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · steadyJosh Naylor — hold.conf 0.60