Rest of Season Projection
IsiahCategoryLuis
3HR ←1
36R →43
33RBI →34
12SB ←7
.273AVG →.295
Current Season
IsiahCategoryLuis
1HR →2
12R →29
11RBI →23
4SB →5
.311AVG →.321
What Each Player's System Trusts
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.319)
Luis Arraez
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.324 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.309 is 0.036 below the surface — regression coming
Isiah Kiner-Falefa: 3 HR / 36 R. Luis Arraez: 1 HR / 43 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).