MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 22, 2026
Portrait of Isiah Kiner-Falefa
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
BOS · 2B
Change to
Portrait of Willi Castro
Willi Castro
COL · 2B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Isiah Kiner-Falefa.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — RBI, steals, and average. Willi Castro’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Isiah Kiner-Falefa wins 3 categories (RBI, SB, AVG); Willi Castro wins 2 (HR, R).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
82.3
Willi Castro
88.3
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
26.5%
Willi Castro
40.3%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
2.9%
Willi Castro
7.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
34.7%
Willi Castro
37.3%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
8.7%
Willi Castro
16.2%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
.312
Willi Castro
.298
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
.200.340
lg AVG .295
now .311
.266
Willi Castro
.200.340
lg AVG .295
now .262
.232

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
54.20
now 1
1
Willi Castro
54.20
now 2
3
Runshigher is better
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
2028.80
now 12
19
Willi Castro
2028.80
now 24
22
RBIhigher is better
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
2022.20
now 11
18
Willi Castro
2022.20
now 19
17
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
2.807.20
now 4
6
Willi Castro
2.807.20
now 4
4
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeIsiah Kiner-Falefa — hold.conf 0.50
SellWilli Castro — sell.conf 0.58
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