Rest of Season Projection
JacCategoryJustin
14HR ←3
33R ←25
22RBI ←21
2SB →12
.255AVG ←.227
Current Season
JacCategoryJustin
6HR ←2
20R ←14
13RBI ←12
1SB →7
.242AVG ←.234
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jac Caglianone
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.340, +0.025 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Justin Crawford
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.267 below league with no luck excuse
Jac Caglianone: 14 HR / 33 R. Justin Crawford: 3 HR / 25 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).