Rest of Season Projection
JacCategorySal
14HR ←3
33R →38
22RBI →31
2SB →7
.255AVG ←.227
Current Season
JacCategorySal
6HR ←3
20R →23
13RBI →19
1SB →4
.242AVG ←.219
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jac Caglianone
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.340, +0.025 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Sal Frelick
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.279 below league with no luck excuse
Jac Caglianone: 14 HR / 33 R. Sal Frelick: 3 HR / 38 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).