Rest of Season Projection
JacCategoryTaylor
14HR ←5
33R ←31
22RBI →26
2SB →4
.255AVG ←.208
Current Season
JacCategoryTaylor
6HR ←0
20R ←7
13RBI ←6
1SB1
.242AVG →.314
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jac Caglianone
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.340, +0.025 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Taylor Trammell
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.471 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.243 is 0.081 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 36% is stable and high — caps the floor
Jac Caglianone: 14 HR / 33 R. Taylor Trammell: 5 HR / 31 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).