MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 16, 2026
Jack Dreyer
LAD · P
Change to
Portrait of Lake Bachar
Lake Bachar
MIA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Jack Dreyer wins 2 (WHIP, W); Lake Bachar wins 2 (K, ERA); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jack Dreyer
93.8
Lake Bachar
94.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jack Dreyer
13.6%
Lake Bachar
14.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jack Dreyer
28.9%
Lake Bachar
26.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jack Dreyer
32.8%
Lake Bachar
29.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jack Dreyer
40.2%
Lake Bachar
39.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jack Dreyer
7.2%
Lake Bachar
8.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jack Dreyer
.275
Lake Bachar
.279
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jack Dreyer
2.384.17
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.78
3.69
Lake Bachar
2.384.17
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.77
3.19
WHIPlower is better
Jack Dreyer
.9101.36
now 1.01
1.24
Lake Bachar
.9101.36
now 1.01
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jack Dreyer
4037.60
now 24
22
Lake Bachar
4037.60
now 32
29
Winshigher is better
Jack Dreyer
.0004.20
now 2
13
Lake Bachar
.0004.20
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJack Dreyer — hold.conf 0.50
BuyLake Bachar — buy.conf 0.87
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