Rest of Season Projection
JacksonCategoryTeoscar
11HR ←10
32R →44
27RBI →45
12SB ←3
.273AVG ←.252
Current Season
JacksonCategoryTeoscar
2HR →7
13R →30
11RBI →31
5SB ←2
.276AVG.276
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jackson Chourio
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.386 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.353 is 0.044 below the surface — regression coming
Teoscar Hernández
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.339, +0.024 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.355 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Jackson Chourio: 11 HR / 32 R. Teoscar Hernández: 10 HR / 44 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).