Rest of Season Projection
JacksonCategoryJames
14HR →22
41R →78
33RBI →57
16SB ←15
.242AVG →.255
Current Season
JacksonCategoryJames
5HR →16
26R →53
21RBI →39
10SB10
.209AVG →.272
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jackson Merrill
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.260 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
James Wood
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.432, +0.117 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Jackson Merrill: 14 HR / 41 R. James Wood: 22 HR / 78 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).