Rest of Season Projection
JacksonCategoryJarren
13HR ←12
40R →44
33RBI →50
16SB ←15
.243AVG ←.217
Current Season
JacksonCategoryJarren
5HR →10
26R →29
21RBI →33
10SB10
.209AVG →.219
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jackson Merrill
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.262 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Jarren Duran
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.304)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Jackson Merrill: 13 HR / 40 R. Jarren Duran: 12 HR / 44 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).