Who's more valuable, rest of season
Too close to call.
They split your categories 2–2. Take whoever fills a bigger need.
Head-to-head
◀
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
▶
SV n/a
Jacob deGrom wins 2 (K, WHIP); Parker Messick wins 2 (ERA, W); SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jacob deGrom
97.2
Parker Messick
93.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jacob deGrom
17.7%
Parker Messick
12.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jacob deGrom
30.2%
Parker Messick
24.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jacob deGrom
34.4%
Parker Messick
31.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jacob deGrom
45.2%
Parker Messick
32.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jacob deGrom
9.2%
Parker Messick
5.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jacob deGrom
.291
Parker Messick
.281
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jacob deGrom
24.03
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.48
3.51
Parker Messick
24.03
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.21
3.26
WHIPlower is better
Jacob deGrom
.9201.33
now 1.01
1.09
Parker Messick
.9201.33
now 1.07
1.24
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jacob deGrom
54.2084.80
now 78
66
Parker Messick
54.2084.80
now 74
61
Winshigher is better
Jacob deGrom
.0009
now 4
2–5
Parker Messick
.0009
now 6
3–7
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyJacob deGrom — buy.conf 0.78
Sell HighParker Messick — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.86