MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Jacob deGrom
Jacob deGrom
TEX · P
Change to
Portrait of Parker Messick
Parker Messick
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Jacob deGrom.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Jacob deGrom wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Parker Messick wins 1 (ERA); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jacob deGrom
97.3
Parker Messick
94.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jacob deGrom
17.3%
Parker Messick
12.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jacob deGrom
29.9%
Parker Messick
26.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jacob deGrom
34.9%
Parker Messick
31.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jacob deGrom
44.9%
Parker Messick
32.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jacob deGrom
8.4%
Parker Messick
5.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jacob deGrom
.292
Parker Messick
.271
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jacob deGrom
24.07
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.48
3.54
Parker Messick
24.07
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.21
3.03
WHIPlower is better
Jacob deGrom
.9401.22
now 1.01
1.14
Parker Messick
.9401.22
now 1.07
1.15

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jacob deGrom
40103.60
now 78
16
Parker Messick
40103.60
now 74
14
Winshigher is better
Jacob deGrom
.0008
now 4
11
Parker Messick
.0008
now 6
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyJacob deGrom — buy.conf 0.77
Sell HighParker Messick — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.85
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