MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 8, 2026
Portrait of Jacob Lopez
Jacob Lopez
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of Seth Lugo
Seth Lugo
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Jacob Lopez wins 2 (ERA, W); Seth Lugo wins 2 (K, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jacob Lopez
90.6
Seth Lugo
91.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jacob Lopez
8.5%
Seth Lugo
8.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jacob Lopez
15.6%
Seth Lugo
18.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jacob Lopez
24.5%
Seth Lugo
25.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jacob Lopez
31.4%
Seth Lugo
43.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jacob Lopez
4.7%
Seth Lugo
10.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jacob Lopez
.311
Seth Lugo
.353
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jacob Lopez
2.278.03
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.75
4.02
Seth Lugo
2.278.03
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.55
4.91
WHIPlower is better
Jacob Lopez
1.152.04
now 1.84
1.59
Seth Lugo
1.152.04
now 1.35
1.37

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jacob Lopez
4074.40
now 38
55
Seth Lugo
4074.40
now 60
64
Winshigher is better
Jacob Lopez
.0009.40
now 4
37
Seth Lugo
.0009.40
now 2
13

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyJacob Lopez — hold.conf 0.60
SellSeth Lugo — sell.conf 0.90
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