MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 31, 2026
Portrait of Jacob Lopez
Jacob Lopez
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of Shane Baz
Shane Baz
BAL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Jacob Lopez wins 2 (ERA, W); Shane Baz wins 2 (K, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jacob Lopez
90.5
Shane Baz
96.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jacob Lopez
10.4%
Shane Baz
10.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jacob Lopez
18.7%
Shane Baz
20.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jacob Lopez
26.0%
Shane Baz
30.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jacob Lopez
30.9%
Shane Baz
41.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jacob Lopez
4.5%
Shane Baz
7.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jacob Lopez
.299
Shane Baz
.320
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jacob Lopez
2.527.96
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.75
3.73
Shane Baz
2.527.96
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.48
4.24
WHIPlower is better
Jacob Lopez
1.212.02
now 1.84
1.52
Shane Baz
1.212.02
now 1.43
1.39

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jacob Lopez
4066.20
now 38
34
Shane Baz
4066.20
now 57
44
Winshigher is better
Jacob Lopez
.0006.60
now 4
25
Shane Baz
.0006.60
now 2
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyJacob Lopez — buy.conf 0.71
Hold · leans sellShane Baz — hold.conf 0.60
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