Rest of Season Projection
JacobCategoryJustin
163K ←79
2.19ERA ←3.84
0.98WHIP ←1.28
6–13W →8–17
0SV0
Current Season
JacobCategoryJustin
108K ←40
1.65ERA ←2.87
0.79WHIP ←1.01
6W →7
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jacob Misiorowski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.19 is 0.54 above the ERA — regression coming
Justin Wrobleski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.237 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.84 is 0.97 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Jacob Misiorowski: 163 K / 2.19 ERA. Justin Wrobleski: 79 K / 3.84 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).