MLB Daily DeltaWeek 11 · June 4, 2026
Engraved portrait of Jacob Misiorowski
Jacob Misiorowski
MIL·P
Sell High high·0.87
Change to
Engraved portrait of Luis Castillo
Luis Castillo
SEA·P
Sell high·0.84
Change to

Rest of Season Projection

JacobCategoryLuis
163K 108
2.19ERA 4.74
0.98WHIP 1.36
6–13W 2–5
0SV0

Current Season

JacobCategoryLuis
108K 56
1.65ERA 5.53
0.79WHIP 1.45
6W 2
0SV0

What Each Player's System Trusts

Jacob Misiorowski
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.19 is 0.54 above the ERA — regression coming
Luis Castillo
  • xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.08 +0.98 vs league with no luck excuse

Jacob Misiorowski: 163 K / 2.19 ERA. Luis Castillo: 108 K / 4.74 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.

Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

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