Rest of Season Projection
JacobCategoryMichael
163K ←89
2.19ERA ←5.26
0.98WHIP ←1.47
6–13W ←2–5
0SV0
Current Season
JacobCategoryMichael
108K ←43
1.65ERA ←7.22
0.79WHIP ←1.90
6W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jacob Misiorowski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.19 is 0.54 above the ERA — regression coming
Michael Lorenzen
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.89 +1.79 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Jacob Misiorowski: 163 K / 2.19 ERA. Michael Lorenzen: 89 K / 5.26 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).