MLB Daily DeltaWeek 11 · June 4, 2026
Engraved portrait of Jacob Misiorowski
Jacob Misiorowski
MIL·P
Sell High high·0.87
Change to
Engraved portrait of Nick Lodolo
Nick Lodolo
CIN·P
Sell High high·0.95
Change to

Rest of Season Projection

JacobCategoryNick
163K 87
2.19ERA 4.27
0.98WHIP 1.31
6–13W 4–9
0SV0

Current Season

JacobCategoryNick
108K 22
1.65ERA 5.20
0.79WHIP 1.37
6W 2
0SV0

What Each Player's System Trusts

Jacob Misiorowski
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.19 is 0.54 above the ERA — regression coming
Nick Lodolo
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 6.61 is 1.40 above the ERA — regression coming

Jacob Misiorowski: 163 K / 2.19 ERA. Nick Lodolo: 87 K / 4.27 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.

Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

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