Rest of Season Projection
JacobCategoryNick
163K ←71
2.19ERA ←4.13
0.98WHIP ←1.29
6–13W ←5–12
0SV0
Current Season
JacobCategoryNick
108K ←41
1.65ERA →1.62
0.79WHIP ←1.11
6W ←5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jacob Misiorowski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.19 is 0.54 above the ERA — regression coming
Nick Martinez
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.15)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Jacob Misiorowski: 163 K / 2.19 ERA. Nick Martinez: 71 K / 4.13 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).