Rest of Season Projection
JacobCategorySpencer
163K ←98
2.19ERA ←4.24
0.98WHIP ←1.35
6–13W →10–21
0SV0
Current Season
JacobCategorySpencer
108K ←43
1.65ERA →1.34
0.79WHIP ←1.13
6W →7
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jacob Misiorowski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.19 is 0.54 above the ERA — regression coming
Spencer Arrighetti
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.212 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.69 is 3.35 above the ERA — regression coming
Jacob Misiorowski: 163 K / 2.19 ERA. Spencer Arrighetti: 98 K / 4.24 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).