Rest of Season Projection
JacobCategoryStephen
163K ←60
2.19ERA ←4.02
0.98WHIP ←1.30
6–13W6–13
0SV0
Current Season
JacobCategoryStephen
108K ←19
1.65ERA ←3.48
0.79WHIP ←0.94
6W ←3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jacob Misiorowski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.19 is 0.54 above the ERA — regression coming
Stephen Kolek
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.31)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Jacob Misiorowski: 163 K / 2.19 ERA. Stephen Kolek: 60 K / 4.02 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).