MLB Daily DeltaWeek 11 · June 4, 2026
Engraved portrait of Jacob Misiorowski
Jacob Misiorowski
MIL·P
Sell High high·0.87
Change to
Engraved portrait of Steven Matz
Steven Matz
TB·P
Sell High med·0.70
Change to

Rest of Season Projection

JacobCategorySteven
163K 81
2.19ERA 4.49
0.98WHIP 1.32
6–13W6–12
0SV0

Current Season

JacobCategorySteven
108K 35
1.65ERA 4.67
0.79WHIP 1.24
6W 4
0SV0

What Each Player's System Trusts

Jacob Misiorowski
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.19 is 0.54 above the ERA — regression coming
Steven Matz
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.85 is 0.37 above the ERA — regression coming

Jacob Misiorowski: 163 K / 2.19 ERA. Steven Matz: 81 K / 4.49 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.

Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

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