Rest of Season Projection
JacobCategoryTroy
159K ←36
2.19ERA ←4.10
0.98WHIP ←1.30
6–13W ←4–9
0SV0
Current Season
JacobCategoryTroy
108K ←4
1.65ERA →1.42
0.79WHIP ←0.95
6W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jacob Misiorowski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.19 is 0.54 above the ERA — regression coming
Troy Melton
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.175 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.45 is 2.71 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 11% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Jacob Misiorowski: 159 K / 2.19 ERA. Troy Melton: 36 K / 4.10 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).