Rest of Season Projection
JakeCategoryShawn
34K →37
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W1–3
0SV0
Current Season
JakeCategoryShawn
20K ←19
5.00ERA →3.60
1.33WHIP1.33
1W1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jake Bird
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.347 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Shawn Armstrong
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.53 is 0.35 above the ERA — regression coming
Jake Bird: 34 K / 3.70 ERA. Shawn Armstrong: 37 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).