Rest of Season Projection
JakobCategoryMatt
30K →42
3.67ERA ←3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
0–0W →1–3
3–6SV ←0
Current Season
JakobCategoryMatt
16K →17
1.75ERA ←3.86
0.78WHIP ←1.29
0W →1
3SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jakob Junis
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.205 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.10 is 1.41 above the ERA — regression coming
Matt Strahm
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.99)
Jakob Junis: 30 K / 3.67 ERA. Matt Strahm: 42 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).