Rest of Season Projection
JamesCategoryLuke
22HR ←14
78R ←42
58RBI →59
15SB ←2
.259AVG ←.237
Current Season
JamesCategoryLuke
16HR ←13
53R ←22
39RBI ←31
10SB ←1
.272AVG →.276
What Each Player's System Trusts
James Wood
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.438, +0.123 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Luke Raley
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.389, +0.074 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Wood projects for 22 HR, 78 R, .259 AVG; Raley for 14 HR, 42 R, .237 AVG. The 8-HR and 36-R gaps define the category divide. In points leagues, Raley's 59 RBI offset some of the spread.