Rest of Season Projection
JamesCategoryOwen
22HR ←9
78R ←33
57RBI →58
15SB ←6
.255AVG ←.189
Current Season
JamesCategoryOwen
16HR ←5
53R ←17
39RBI ←30
10SB ←3
.272AVG ←.234
What Each Player's System Trusts
James Wood
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.432, +0.117 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Owen Caissie
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.283 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 40% is stable and high — caps the floor
James Wood: 22 HR / 78 R. Owen Caissie: 9 HR / 33 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).