Rest of Season Projection
JamesCategoryTroy
22HR ←8
78R ←38
57RBI ←41
15SB ←5
.255AVG →.295
Current Season
JamesCategoryTroy
16HR ←2
53R ←23
39RBI ←25
10SB ←3
.272AVG →.312
What Each Player's System Trusts
James Wood
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.432, +0.117 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Troy Johnston
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.399 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.329 is 0.030 below the surface — regression coming
James Wood: 22 HR / 78 R. Troy Johnston: 8 HR / 38 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).