Rest of Season Projection
JaredCategoryNick
5HR ←1
12R →38
15RBI →19
6SB ←4
.239AVG ←.211
Current Season
JaredCategoryNick
0HR →1
4R →10
5RBI5
2SB ←1
.235AVG →.255
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jared Triolo
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.264)
Nick Allen
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.319 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.254 is 0.050 below the surface — regression coming
Jared Triolo: 5 HR / 12 R. Nick Allen: 1 HR / 38 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).