Rest of Season Projection
JarrenCategoryOneil
12HR →19
45R →63
51RBI →61
16SB →28
.219AVG →.242
Current Season
JarrenCategoryOneil
10HR →13
29R →42
33RBI →41
10SB →19
.219AVG →.255
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jarren Duran
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.308)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
Oneil Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.353, +0.038 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 35% is stable and high — caps the floor
Jarren Duran: 12 HR / 45 R. Oneil Cruz: 19 HR / 63 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).