Rest of Season Projection
JasonCategoryMason
37K →69
3.70ERA →3.58
1.24WHIP →1.23
2–6W ←1–2
1–3SV →19–36
Current Season
JasonCategoryMason
11K →49
0.90ERA →0.72
1.00WHIP →0.84
2W ←1
1SV →17
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jason Adam
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.234 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.62 is 1.73 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Mason Miller
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (1.10)
Jason Adam: 37 K / 3.70 ERA. Mason Miller: 69 K / 3.58 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).