Rest of Season Projection
JasonCategoryRyan
33K ←27
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
2–6W →3–9
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
JasonCategoryRyan
11K →16
0.90ERA ←2.89
1.00WHIP ←1.39
2W →3
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jason Adam
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.246 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.03 is 1.32 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Ryan Rolison
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.271 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.79 is 1.95 above the ERA — regression coming
Jason Adam: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. Ryan Rolison: 27 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).