MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Jason Adam
Jason Adam
SD · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Alexander
Tyler Alexander
TEX · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Tyler Alexander.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and saves. Jason Adam’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Tyler Alexander wins 3 categories (K, ERA, SV); Jason Adam wins 1 (W); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jason Adam
93.4
Tyler Alexander
91.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jason Adam
15.3%
Tyler Alexander
9.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jason Adam
16.4%
Tyler Alexander
22.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jason Adam
35.6%
Tyler Alexander
31.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jason Adam
36.3%
Tyler Alexander
35.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jason Adam
6.9%
Tyler Alexander
3.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jason Adam
.288
Tyler Alexander
.274
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jason Adam
24.82
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.90
3.70
Tyler Alexander
24.82
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.12
3.67
WHIPlower is better
Jason Adam
.9001.53
now 1.00
1.24
Tyler Alexander
.9001.53
now 1.38
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jason Adam
4026.60
now 11
15
Tyler Alexander
4026.60
now 21
16
Winshigher is better
Jason Adam
.0004.20
now 2
13
Tyler Alexander
.0004.20
now 1
01
Saveshigher is better
Jason Adam
.0004.40
now 1
02
Tyler Alexander
.0004.40
now 2
13
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighJason Adam — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.91
Hold · wait & seeTyler Alexander — hold.conf 0.50
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