Rest of Season Projection
JasonCategoryWill
26K →34
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
2–5W ←1–2
1–3SV1–2
Current Season
JasonCategoryWill
11K →20
0.90ERA ←7.23
1.00WHIP ←1.45
2W ←1
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jason Adam
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.254 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.32 is 1.82 above the ERA — regression coming
Will Vest
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.59 sits 0.51 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.357 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Jason Adam: 26 K / 3.70 ERA. Will Vest: 34 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).