MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 2, 2026
Portrait of Jeff Hoffman
Jeff Hoffman
TOR · P
Change to
Portrait of Jhoan Duran
Jhoan Duran
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Jeff Hoffman.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and wins. Jhoan Duran’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Jeff Hoffman wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, W); Jhoan Duran wins 1 (SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jeff Hoffman
96.5
Jhoan Duran
100.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jeff Hoffman
19.3%
Jhoan Duran
19.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jeff Hoffman
35.2%
Jhoan Duran
37.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jeff Hoffman
38.8%
Jhoan Duran
34.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jeff Hoffman
34.2%
Jhoan Duran
45.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jeff Hoffman
7.9%
Jhoan Duran
3.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jeff Hoffman
.281
Jhoan Duran
.235
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jeff Hoffman
28.22
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.31
3.26
Jhoan Duran
28.22
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.53
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Jeff Hoffman
.9002.07
now 1.75
1.16
Jhoan Duran
.9002.07
now 0.96
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jeff Hoffman
4055
now 45
25
Jhoan Duran
4055
now 26
20
Winshigher is better
Jeff Hoffman
.0005.20
now 4
24
Jhoan Duran
.0005.20
now 1
11
Saveshigher is better
Jeff Hoffman
.00018.80
now 5
24
Jhoan Duran
.00018.80
now 12
714
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJeff Hoffman — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.83
Hold · wait & seeJhoan Duran — hold.conf 0.50
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