Who's more valuable, rest of season
Jeff Hoffman.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and wins. Riley O'Brien’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
◀
K
◀
ERA
◀
WHIP
◀
W
SV
▶
Jeff Hoffman wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, W); Riley O'Brien wins 1 (SV).
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jeff Hoffman
96.6
Riley O'Brien
98.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jeff Hoffman
18.2%
Riley O'Brien
12.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jeff Hoffman
33.5%
Riley O'Brien
24.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jeff Hoffman
37.9%
Riley O'Brien
28.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jeff Hoffman
32.4%
Riley O'Brien
40.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jeff Hoffman
8.1%
Riley O'Brien
7.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jeff Hoffman
.285
Riley O'Brien
.331
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jeff Hoffman
27.55
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.31
3.37
Riley O'Brien
27.55
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.20
3.75
WHIPlower is better
Jeff Hoffman
.9002.05
now 1.75
1.21
Riley O'Brien
.9002.05
now 0.99
1.25
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jeff Hoffman
4055
now 45
28
Riley O'Brien
4055
now 27
20
Winshigher is better
Jeff Hoffman
.0005.20
now 4
2–4
Riley O'Brien
.0005.20
now 3
1–3
Saveshigher is better
Jeff Hoffman
.00018.80
now 5
2–5
Riley O'Brien
.00018.80
now 14
7–13
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJeff Hoffman — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.88
Hold · wait & seeRiley O'Brien — hold.conf 0.50