MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 11, 2026
Portrait of Jeffrey Springs
Jeffrey Springs
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of Luis Castillo
Luis Castillo
SEA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Luis Castillo.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP. Jeffrey Springs’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Luis Castillo wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Jeffrey Springs wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jeffrey Springs
91.4
Luis Castillo
95.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jeffrey Springs
11.0%
Luis Castillo
12.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jeffrey Springs
19.5%
Luis Castillo
21.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jeffrey Springs
30.5%
Luis Castillo
32.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jeffrey Springs
34.9%
Luis Castillo
44.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jeffrey Springs
9.8%
Luis Castillo
9.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jeffrey Springs
.330
Luis Castillo
.329
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jeffrey Springs
3.496.11
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.07
4.42
Luis Castillo
3.496.11
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.53
4.40
WHIPlower is better
Jeffrey Springs
1.091.55
now 1.19
1.34
Luis Castillo
1.091.55
now 1.45
1.33

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jeffrey Springs
50.4070.60
now 57
60
Luis Castillo
50.4070.60
now 56
65
Winshigher is better
Jeffrey Springs
.0005.20
now 3
24
Luis Castillo
.0005.20
now 2
13

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellJeffrey Springs — sell.conf 0.70
SellLuis Castillo — sell.conf 0.69
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