MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 22, 2026
Portrait of Jesús Luzardo
Jesús Luzardo
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Joe Ryan
Joe Ryan
MIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Jesús Luzardo.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Joe Ryan’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Jesús Luzardo wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Joe Ryan wins 1 (WHIP); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jesús Luzardo
97.1
Joe Ryan
93.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jesús Luzardo
14.8%
Joe Ryan
13.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jesús Luzardo
29.6%
Joe Ryan
27.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jesús Luzardo
33.1%
Joe Ryan
32.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jesús Luzardo
30.7%
Joe Ryan
42.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jesús Luzardo
5.4%
Joe Ryan
11.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jesús Luzardo
.266
Joe Ryan
.290
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jesús Luzardo
2.354.86
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.30
2.91
Joe Ryan
2.354.86
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.20
3.49
WHIPlower is better
Jesús Luzardo
.9001.45
now 1.31
1.23
Joe Ryan
.9001.45
now 0.97
1.12

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jesús Luzardo
55.2085.80
now 78
63
Joe Ryan
55.2085.80
now 79
62
Winshigher is better
Jesús Luzardo
.8006.20
now 4
25
Joe Ryan
.8006.20
now 4
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJesús Luzardo — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.76
BuyJoe Ryan — buy.conf 0.78
Tweet