MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 20, 2026
Portrait of Jhoan Duran
Jhoan Duran
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Lucas Erceg
Lucas Erceg
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Jhoan Duran.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Jhoan Duran wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, SV); Lucas Erceg wins 1 (W); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jhoan Duran
100.2
Lucas Erceg
97.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jhoan Duran
20.6%
Lucas Erceg
10.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jhoan Duran
39.7%
Lucas Erceg
15.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jhoan Duran
35.1%
Lucas Erceg
28.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jhoan Duran
46.4%
Lucas Erceg
40.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jhoan Duran
4.3%
Lucas Erceg
5.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jhoan Duran
.229
Lucas Erceg
.322
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jhoan Duran
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.53
3.70
Lucas Erceg
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.33
3.71
WHIPlower is better
Jhoan Duran
.9002.30
now 0.96
1.24
Lucas Erceg
.9002.30
now 1.92
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jhoan Duran
4031.60
now 26
25
Lucas Erceg
4031.60
now 18
21
Winshigher is better
Jhoan Duran
.0005.20
now 1
12
Lucas Erceg
.0005.20
now 3
24
Saveshigher is better
Jhoan Duran
321
now 12
917
Lucas Erceg
321
now 11
713
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJhoan Duran — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeLucas Erceg — hold.conf 0.55
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