MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Joe Ryan
Joe Ryan
MIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Paul Skenes
Paul Skenes
PIT · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Joe Ryan wins 1 (WHIP); Paul Skenes wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Joe Ryan
93.5
Paul Skenes
96.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Joe Ryan
12.9%
Paul Skenes
14.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Joe Ryan
26.8%
Paul Skenes
28.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Joe Ryan
32.6%
Paul Skenes
32.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Joe Ryan
41.4%
Paul Skenes
38.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Joe Ryan
10.5%
Paul Skenes
6.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Joe Ryan
.290
Paul Skenes
.280
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Joe Ryan
2.653.73
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.20
3.49
Paul Skenes
2.653.73
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.89
3.24
WHIPlower is better
Joe Ryan
.9001.35
now 0.97
1.14
Paul Skenes
.9001.35
now 0.86
1.21

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Joe Ryan
40104.60
now 79
15
Paul Skenes
40104.60
now 75
15
Winshigher is better
Joe Ryan
.0008.40
now 4
01
Paul Skenes
.0008.40
now 6
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyJoe Ryan — buy.conf 0.78
BuyPaul Skenes — buy.conf 0.86
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