MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 31, 2026
Portrait of Joel Kuhnel
Joel Kuhnel
MIL · P
Change to
Portrait of José Alvarado
José Alvarado
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

José Alvarado.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Joel Kuhnel’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

José Alvarado wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Joel Kuhnel wins 1 (SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Joel Kuhnel
95.1
José Alvarado
97.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Joel Kuhnel
10.7%
José Alvarado
14.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Joel Kuhnel
14.0%
José Alvarado
28.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Joel Kuhnel
29.2%
José Alvarado
34.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Joel Kuhnel
39.5%
José Alvarado
26.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Joel Kuhnel
5.9%
José Alvarado
4.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Joel Kuhnel
.355
José Alvarado
.296
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Joel Kuhnel
2.026.61
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.04
3.76
José Alvarado
2.026.61
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Joel Kuhnel
.9302.06
now 1.18
1.25
José Alvarado
.9302.06
now 1.81
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Joel Kuhnel
4032
now 13
11
José Alvarado
4032
now 26
21
Winshigher is better
Joel Kuhnel
.0001.48
now 1
01
José Alvarado
.0001.48
now 1
01
Saveshigher is better
Joel Kuhnel
.0005.60
now 4
24
José Alvarado
.0005.60
now 1
01
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJoel Kuhnel — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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