Rest of Season Projection
JoelCategoryMason
26K →69
3.73ERA →3.58
1.25WHIP →1.23
1–2W1–2
5–8SV →19–36
Current Season
JoelCategoryMason
13K →49
3.04ERA →0.72
1.18WHIP →0.84
1W1
4SV →17
What Each Player's System Trusts
Joel Kuhnel
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.56 is 1.52 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Mason Miller
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (1.10)
Joel Kuhnel: 26 K / 3.73 ERA. Mason Miller: 69 K / 3.58 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).