Rest of Season Projection
JoeyCategoryMookie
3HR →9
29R →35
25RBI →40
8SB ←0
.217AVG →.232
Current Season
JoeyCategoryMookie
1HR →6
15R ←14
13RBI →16
4SB ←0
.193AVG →.196
What Each Player's System Trusts
Joey Ortiz
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.298)
Mookie Betts
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.162 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Joey Ortiz: 3 HR / 29 R. Mookie Betts: 9 HR / 35 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).