Rest of Season Projection
JohnCategoryMason
33K →69
3.74ERA →3.58
1.25WHIP →1.23
0–0W →1–2
1–3SV →19–36
Current Season
JohnCategoryMason
13K →49
2.74ERA →0.72
1.30WHIP →0.84
0W →1
1SV →17
What Each Player's System Trusts
John Schreiber
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.254 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.04 is 2.34 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Mason Miller
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (1.10)
John Schreiber: 33 K / 3.74 ERA. Mason Miller: 69 K / 3.58 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).