Rest of Season Projection
JordanCategoryTaylor
35K35
3.70ERA3.71
1.24WHIP1.24
2–5W ←1–2
0SV →1–6
Current Season
JordanCategoryTaylor
18K ←17
6.27ERA →4.15
1.23WHIP ←1.57
2W ←1
0SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jordan Leasure
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.196 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 7.29 is 1.02 above the ERA — regression coming
Taylor Rogers
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.361 elevated and unstable — the 4.79 ERA overstates the damage
- xeraNOISEbut luck-free xERA 4.37 is +0.27 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
Jordan Leasure: 35 K / 3.70 ERA. Taylor Rogers: 35 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).