Rest of Season Projection
JorgeCategoryKevin
6HR →13
66R ←58
33RBI ←32
21SB ←14
.273AVG →.285
Current Season
JorgeCategoryKevin
4HR ←3
22R →38
11RBI →21
7SB →9
.316AVG ←.285
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jorge Mateo
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.361)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Kevin McGonigle
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.366, +0.051 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Jorge Mateo: 6 HR / 66 R. Kevin McGonigle: 13 HR / 58 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).