Rest of Season Projection
JorgeCategoryKonnor
5HR →7
59R ←44
29RBI →33
19SB →21
.269AVG ←.239
Current Season
JorgeCategoryKonnor
4HR4
22R →30
11RBI →22
7SB →14
.316AVG ←.270
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jorge Mateo
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.356)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.390 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Konnor Griffin
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.303)
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.359 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Jorge Mateo: 5 HR / 59 R. Konnor Griffin: 8 HR / 45 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).