Rest of Season Projection
JorgeCategoryOtto
6HR →11
66R ←51
33RBI →37
21SB ←15
.273AVG →.308
Current Season
JorgeCategoryOtto
4HR4
22R →33
11RBI →24
7SB →10
.316AVG →.333
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jorge Mateo
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.361)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Otto Lopez
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.340, +0.025 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Jorge Mateo: 6 HR / 66 R. Otto Lopez: 11 HR / 51 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).