Rest of Season Projection
JoseCategoryWilli
8HR ←7
48R ←41
21RBI →33
2SB →7
.244AVG ←.220
Current Season
JoseCategoryWilli
4HR ←2
27R ←24
12RBI →19
1SB →4
.246AVG →.262
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jose Altuve
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.314)
Willi Castro
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.284 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Jose Altuve: 8 HR / 48 R. Willi Castro: 7 HR / 41 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).