Rest of Season Projection
JoséCategoryKai-Wei
54K →59
3.70ERA →3.68
1.24WHIP ←1.27
1–3W →2–6
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
JoséCategoryKai-Wei
26K →43
5.59ERA →2.57
1.81WHIP →1.10
1W →3
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
José Alvarado
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.441 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Kai-Wei Teng
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.224 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.58 is 1.01 above the ERA — regression coming
José Alvarado: 54 K / 3.70 ERA. Kai-Wei Teng: 59 K / 3.68 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).