Rest of Season Projection
JoseCategorySpencer
5HR →10
43R ←40
28RBI →43
11SB ←2
.236AVG.236
Current Season
JoseCategorySpencer
3HR →7
23R →24
15RBI →26
6SB ←1
.256AVG →.289
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jose Fernandez
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.271 below league with no luck excuse
Spencer Horwitz
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.338)
Jose Fernandez: 5 HR / 43 R. Spencer Horwitz: 10 HR / 40 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).